Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 643.567517 722.428790 809.989769 914.936524 1037.981726 1178.503761 1352.316118
2025-02-16 523.795931 627.297178 752.384550 916.754530 1130.170681 1402.334439 1783.069122
2025-02-23 469.537433 585.227414 732.680560 938.345740 1224.317376 1618.226832 2221.180388
2025-03-02 429.863958 553.401941 717.874082 959.055888 1314.815453 1839.575320 2712.307226
2025-03-09 393.702373 520.196784 694.666796 961.329099 1374.823730 2022.100257 3181.833942
2025-03-16 360.364259 486.477703 665.618427 949.185259 1408.247394 2165.542182 3617.435773
2025-03-23 339.445963 467.811542 655.434624 962.858065 1482.497386 2387.012508 4249.445600
2025-03-30 311.623219 436.210495 622.298850 935.401163 1482.771718 2477.147985 4647.612204
2025-04-06 288.157876 409.047185 593.178592 910.577487 1483.015502 2565.556677 5064.990361
2025-04-13 266.658453 383.154165 563.646820 881.475944 1470.825468 2626.614796 5437.568994
2025-04-20 258.601828 377.471928 565.781380 906.807426 1563.012950 2914.964619 6449.668086
2025-04-27 247.974370 366.811183 558.660140 914.579365 1621.907669 3144.453697 7397.333761
2025-05-04 237.861257 356.851818 552.856352 926.052259 1694.301925 3430.515952 8661.506460
2025-05-11 225.786290 342.894315 539.202980 921.597427 1733.838650 3652.310080 9855.712331
2025-05-18 219.206773 337.549851 539.933440 944.670607 1836.463888 4056.675381 11888.615058
2025-05-25 212.756167 331.900294 539.525674 965.277006 1937.175742 4485.734094 14312.435820
2025-06-01 204.307786 322.161380 530.773750 967.627831 1995.316347 4814.077987 16584.756006
2025-06-08 194.653658 309.663557 515.889836 955.370110 2015.762159 5038.392922 18581.141350
2025-06-15 188.994321 303.917742 513.273628 969.160032 2104.467032 5502.790548 22202.717052
2025-06-22 178.839353 289.435180 492.816427 941.472857 2080.412680 5593.902039 23903.916600
2025-06-29 169.732650 276.389529 474.314397 916.443201 2059.983799 5694.039197 25789.046454
2025-07-06 160.779415 263.182345 454.688908 887.102067 2023.696176 5730.528607 27341.686060
2025-07-13 158.308239 261.877179 458.612991 912.641962 2146.214063 6392.763899 34142.403651